"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK & TRADING IDEA FOR THE WEEK 11.02.2013 TO 17.02.2013"

At the close, the 30-share index, Sensex fell sharply 296.42 points or 1.5% over previous week to 19,484.77. On the other hand, the broad based NSE Nifty dropped 95.40 points, or 1.59%, to 5,903.50.
VIEWS FROM DIFFERENT BROKING HOUSES:
HDFC SECURITIES: Benchmark indices may turn volatile in the coming week amid various economic data points to be announced. A host of results will continue to flow in. But the market looks unlikely to stage any major rally in the coming week. Our downside targets for the Nifty are at 5,840. Any rallies in the coming week could find resistance at 5950-5980”.
BONANZA ONLINE: Nifty made long black candlestick pattern on weekly charts, which shows that bears are having control at the moment. Selling pressure may be continuing below 5900 levels. On downside, Nifty has some support near 5800 levels. If Nifty holds support level then recovery may also be seen. For trading during the coming session, trend deciding level is 5900.  If Nifty shows strength above 5900 levels then we may see rally till 5960/6000/6050/6125. If Nifty doesn’t maintain above 5900 levels then profit booking till 5840/5800/5760/5700 may also be seen.
Duration
Action
Entry Zone (NF)
For Target of
Stop Loss
For Monday
Buy
5900-5920
5960
5880
For the Week
Buy
5800-5910
5980-6020
5840
BONANZA PORTFOLIO (Rakesh Goyal):Weak GDP numbers have dampened the market sentiment, however, any positive cues from global markets may help in recovery. In coming sessions, 5,900 level shall be crucial deciding level in near term, and index is likely to witness further selling below this level. Below 5,900, likely support levels are 5,850-5,820, while above 5,950, likely target is 6,000-6,025”.
GEPL CAPITAL: We continue to maintain a downside target of 5850 over the coming weeks. In the immediate term the level of 550 would now serve as a severe resistance on any bounce back attempts and beyond that 5980 is the next critical resistance on the upside.  Fresh longs are still not recommended on a positional basis at present juncture as Nifty still appears bearish with an impending target of 5850 in the immediate term”.
KARVY STOCK BROKING:Long positions can be assumed in Auto and IT if the Nifty sustains above 5900 levels. Short positions can be accumulated in Banking, Capital Goods, Cement, Realty, Metals, Pharma and Utilities if the Nifty breaches 5900 levels. Overall, we expect Nifty to trade in the range of 5850-6000 levels for next week. However, a breakthrough of this range would lead to high volatility in the market”. 
ADITYA BIRLA MONEY (MONEY WEEKLY):Investors will keep a vigil on the Union Budget…..a non–expansionary and progressive budget, with contained fiscal deficit and elements to take the economy back on the accelerated growth path. This could lead to a rally in march. The correction in the market is an opportunity for the investors to get into the market. We recommend investors to buy quality stocks with focus on rate-sensitive sectors like Financials, Auto, reforms-led sectors like Oil and Gas and Media. With revival in US economy, IT can emerge as an dark horse for FY14”.
ICICI SECURITIES:The Nifty has immediate resistance at 5940. If the Nifty is unable to move above this level then it could topple to 5800. In such a scenario, leverage closure could also magnify selling pressure. The index gave up its out-performance trend as it fell close to 4% during the week. The index has closed at 12280, which is the lowest close since December, 2012. Major resistance for the index is at 12500, which was the major support in the January series. The index is heading towards its highest Put placed at 12000”.
SMC TRADEONLINE (WISE MONEY):The Nifty is expected to trade down trending in coming weeks and the sharp move may cause the rise in volatility. Hereafter the range of 5800-6000 will remain crucial in the near term, and the movement is expected to remain volatile”.
ANGEL BROKING (Technical): “The sharp fall during the last half an hour on Friday has now confirmed a breakdown of the 'Upward Sloping Channel' on the daily chart. Please note that the Sensex has not yet confirmed a breakdown of the 'Upward Sloping Channel' pattern. Also Indices have now precisely tested 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the rise from 19149/5823 (low on December 18, 2012) to 20204/6112 (high on January 29, 2013). Considering the Channel pattern breakdown and negative placement of weekly momentum oscillators, we can infer that indices may experience a severe correction in the coming week if they manage to sustain below this week's low of 19414/5883. In this scenario, we may witness a corrective move towards 19000-18870/5800-5735 levels. On the flipside, 19648-19768/5953-5991 levels would act as strong resistance for our benchmark indices”.
IIFL (Amar Ambani): Benchmark indices may turn volatile in the coming week amid various economic data points to be announced. The IIP numbers will be announced next week. The other data points are WPI, import-export numbers for the month and CPI. A host of results will continue to flow in. But the market looks unlikely to stage any rally in the coming week”.  
MICROSEC SECURITIES:For the coming week, first support of Nifty is at 5870 and the resistance is 5950. If Nifty breaks 5870, it may further go down 5840 and then 5800. However, if Nifty is able to sustain above 5950, the level of 6030-6120 would become the next target”.
INDIRATRADE SECURITIES:For the next week, Nifty likely to trade in the range between 6050-6150 in the upper side and 5750-5700 in the lower side”.

No comments:

Disclaimer: "It is assuming that all Traders and/or Investors are well known of the fact that Investment are subject to market risk and no responsibility will be taken either by the author or writer of the blog content whether direct, implied or consequential for any losses or profits that may occur as a result of trading with the calls provided in this blog.."