"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK & TRADING IDEA FOR THE WEEK 31.12.2012 TO 06.01.2013"

Wish you all the blog visitors, well wishers and my friends a very very 
The 30-share index, Sensex added 202.84 points, or 1.05% over previous week to 19,444.84. On the other hand, the broad based NSE Nifty too gained 60.65 points, or 1.04%, to 5,908.35.
VIEWS FROM DIFFERENT BROKING HOUSES:
HDFC SECURITIES: “Markets are still stuck in a range between the 19149-19612/5823-5965 levels. Friday’s bounce back does give some hope for the bulls. A breakout on the upside would lead to a continuation of the current intermediate uptrend. This would then bring into focus the previous intermediate highs of 20218-20665/6070-6181. Our bets for a continuation of the uptrend would go wrong if the Sensex/Nifty dive lower and close below the short-term reversal levels of 19149/5823”.
CANARA BANK SECURITIES (CanMoney): “Domestic and global cues are expected to continue to decide the direction for our equity market. Strategy for the month would be Long strangle i.e. to buy 5800 put and 6000 call at total premium of ` 105. Nifty range for the next week might be in the range of 5820-6050”.
BONANZA ONLINE: Nifty is consolidating in 5965-5825 zone for 4 weeks. Until decisive breakout or breakdown occurs, volatility may be continuing. Sentiment to large extent may depend upon Global indices particularly US fiscal cliff problem. Decisive break down below 5825 may lead to selling pressure and lower levels may be seen. On the other hand, if Nifty breakout above 5965 levels then buying strength may be seen. Traders should not take fresh delivery call below 5825 levels. For trading during the coming sessions, trend deciding level is 5900.  If Nifty shows strength above 5900 levels then we may see rally till 5965/6000/6050/6125. If Nifty doesn’t sustain above 5900 levels then profit booking till 5840/5750/5700/5700 may also be seen.
Duration
Action
Entry Zone (NF)
For Target of
Stop Loss
For Monday
Sell
5970-5990
5930
6010
For the Week
Sell
5980-6030
5900-5850
6060
BONANZA PORTFOLIO (Rakesh Goel): After 5 weeks, Nifty is still holding above 5,850 level, which is a positive indicator. Any positive news can lead to upward breakout of the range. It is to be seen if Nifty sustains above 5,925 level, as this will be deciding level for coming days. In the coming sessions, Nifty is likely to witness further buying above 5,925 level and may see consolidation within 5,850-5,950 in the coming sessions. Support may be seen from 5,850-5,825 levels and resistance near 5,925-5,950”.
GEPL CAPITAL: While the level of 5960 continues to serve as a resistance for Nifty, 5840 is an important support. An either side break out would provide short term directional cues. A break out above 5960 would imply further advance till 6030 to 6100 range whereas a breakdown below 5850 would indicate further decline till 4780. We advise initiating of trading positions only on a confirmation of a break out of either side”.
ADITYA BIRLA MONEY (MONEY WEEKLY): “The confluence of current strong reforms momentum generated by the government, likely interest rate cuts and lack of high yielding asset avenues for global investment flows are likely to help our markets to continue to attract strong FII flows. We recommend investors to accumulate quality plays in private sector financials, media, discretionary consumption like autos and consumer durable, Industrial & Infrastructure and pharma”.
ICICI SECURITIES: “The Nifty has key resistance placed at 5975, above which it is likely to test 6100. On downsides, 5750-5820 remains a crucial support zone. The banking index has seen creation of short straddle at the 12500 strike at a cumulative premium of 550, which is forming the range of 11950-13050 for the index. Within this range, 12520 spot is likely to act as a pivot level, a move beyond which could trigger fresh upsides in private sector heavyweights”.
SMC TRADEONLINE (WISE MONEY):Overall market cost-of-carry increased on the back of addition in open interest suggesting addition of long positions. The month of January began with good rollover with positive cost of carry indicating long carry forward. Hereafter, the range of 5800-6000 will remain crucial in the near term. Breach below the 5800 mark could see the Index declining sharply to 5650 levels. It is likely to hover in the range of 5800-6000 levels for the week”.
GABA & GABA FINANCIAL ADVISORS PVT LTD (Prakash Gaba): “The crucial support for the Nifty is at 5864 and trade long and the resistance is at 5980-6000”.
ANGEL BROKING (Technical): “We continue to mention the narrow trading range of 19613/5965-19149/5823. Only a sustainable breakout on either side would give a clear direction for the near term.  A move beyond 19613/5965 level would result in an extended rally towards 20050-20218/6000-6070 levels. Conversely, a closing below the lower range of 19149/5823 may trigger short term pessimism in the market. In such a scenario, we may witness a correction towards 19100-18930/5806-5755. These levels are the 38.20% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the rise from 18255/5548 (low on November 20, 2012) to 19612/5965 (high on December 11, 2012), respectively. However any adverse developments in the US, with regards to the 'Fiscal Cliff' may result in enhanced volatility in the market. Considering the overall weekly chart structure we continue to remain positive on the market and any corrective move towards 19000-18900/5800-5750 levels should be used by positional traders as a buying opportunity”.
IIFL (Amar Ambani): “Investors eagerly await the outcome of fiscal cliff negotiations before spending cuts and tax raise get initiated on January 1.  With few days left in December, attention will soon shift to next year. Corporate earnings will be tracked closely. Being the beginning of a new month, markets will have lot of data points to digest, including manufacturing and services PMI and auto sales. So, brace for more volatility and uncertainty, and avoid any misadventures”.  (source: myiris) 
MICROSEC SECURITIES: For the coming week, first support of Nifty is at 5800 and the resistance is 5975. If Nifty breaks 5800, it may further go down 5730 and then 5630. However, if Nifty is able to sustain above 5950, the level of 6030-6080 would become the next target”.
INDIRATRADE SECURITIES: “For the next week, Nifty likely to trade in the range between 6000-6100 in the upper side and 5800-5700 in the lower side”.
SHAREKHAN:  “The Nifty has taken support around the previous swing low, i.e., 5,840, and bounced which indicates strength in the short term. The short-term bias has changed to positive for a target of 5,965. The medium-term outlook remains positive, as the index has started forming higher tops and higher bottoms on the weekly chart and also made a bullish island with support around 5,649”.

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