"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK & TRADING IDEA FOR THE WEEK 10.09.2012 TO 16.09.2012"

BSE Sensex gained 65.92 points or 0.37% at 17,749.65 and NSE Nifty went up by 16.60 points or 0.31% at 5,358.70 in a special trading session on last Saturday.
VIEWS FROM DIFFERENT BROKING HOUSES:
HDFC SECURITIES: With the Nifty having rallied smartly during the week, the underlying trend has turned bullish and bulls seem to have an upper hand at least for the short term. Nifty seems to have taken a strong support near 5220. With supportive global cues, we expect the upside momentum to continue in the next week as well. Immediate upside resistance for the Nifty is at 5400”.
CANARA BANK SECURITIES (CanMoney): Next week, few vital data including Jobless claim, Industrial production, crude inventory status, retail sales and consumer price index will be announced in US. These may have vital impact on global indices including ours. Major Support & Resistance for Nifty are 5205/5180/5140 and 5280/5315/5380”.
BONANZA ONLINE: After showing selling pressure previous week, Nifty showed good recovery. Buying interest may be continuing above 5350 levels. On upside, Nifty may find some resistance in 5450-5500 zones. On downside, Nifty may find some support at 5200 levels. Traders may take delivery based position in good stocks with stoploss levels. For trading during the coming sessions, trend deciding level is 5350. If Nifty shows strength above 5350 levels then we may see rally till 5400/5450/5490/5550. If Nifty doesn’t sustain above 5350 levels then selling pressure till 5290/5250/5200/5150 may also be seen.
Duration
Action
Entry Zone (NF)
For Target of
Stop Loss
For Monday
Buy
5380-5400
5450
5350
For the Week
Buy
5350-5400
5475-5525
5325
VENTURA SECURITIES LIMITED:On Monday (5340-5331)-(5328-5322) would be buy levels. Strong Market won’t break 5331. Above 5340 Nifty could test 5347 (Friday’s high), further it could open for 5360-5400-5448-5510. Nifty has support at 5309 (Friday’s low). Below it could open for 5296-5281-5260-5244”.
GEPL CAPITAL: In the immediate term the level of 5260 has now turned as a support. Any decline below that would confirm further sell off till at least 5000. However till the time it trades above 5260 it may test the resistance of 5360 and beyond that retest the high of 5450. Any advance beyond that may take it to the level of 5500 and beyond that 5592 is a possibility”.
KARVY STOCK BROKING:We expect Nifty to trade in the broad range of 5300-5500 levels for the next week. However, a breach of 5300 levels leads to a sharp fall towards 5200 negating the upside potential”.
ICICI SECURITIES:The Nifty may trade with a positive bias till it holds above 5340. Sustainability above these levels may trigger short covering towards 5460. On downsides, we expect 5220 to act as a major support. The Bank Nifty has given another weekly close above its highest Put base at the 10000 strike. Sustainability above these levels may trigger positive momentum towards 10500. On downsides, 9800 should continue to act as a major support
SMC TRADEONLINE (WISE MONEY):The range of 5200-5400 will remain crucial in the near term, and the move is expected to remain sideways as indicated by low VIX and low Implied Volatility. If Nifty slips below the 5200 mark, it could slide to 5000 levels due to increased in selling pressure. On the flipside, the index may face stiff resistance at 5450-5500 levels. Nifty is expected to remain in a broad range of 5250-5400 levels with an intermediary support at around 5280 levels”.
ANGEL BROKING (Technical): The last week's low of 17250/5217 almost coincides with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level of the rise from 16598 to 17973/5032 to 5449. Hence, this level would act as a key support for our markets. The 'RSI' momentum oscillator and '3 & 8 EMA' on daily chart are signalling a positive crossover. This indicates a high probability of continuation of Friday's strong positive momentum in coming week. Considering the broad based rally in the frontline stocks, we are of the opinion that traders can create fresh long positions on every decline up to 5275 (Nifty Spot) for a target of 5449-5550 (Nifty Spot). The stop loss for this trade set up can be placed below 5190 (Nifty Spot) mark. A breach of 5190 level would trigger complete loss of current optimism in the market”.
MICROSEC SECURITIES:For the coming week, first support of Nifty is at 5300 and the resistance is 5400. If Nifty breaks 5300, it may further go down to 5250 and then 5210. However, if Nifty is able to sustain above 5400, the level of 5450-5510 would become the next target”.
INDIRATRADE SECURITIES:For the next week, Nifty likely to trade in the range between 5450-5500 in the upper side and 5250-5200 in the lower side”.

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