"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK & TRADING IDEA FOR THE WEEK 24.09.2012 TO 30.09.2012"

The 30-share index, Sensex climbs 288.56 points, or 1.56% to 18,752.83, a 14-month high. On the other hand, the broad based NSE Nifty gained 113.5 points, or 2.03%, to 5,691.15.
VIEWS FROM DIFFERENT BROKING HOUSES:
HDFC SECURITIES: While the sentiments in the coming week could continue to remain positive, we expect some correction at higher levels to set in during the middle of the next week after a strong rally this week. We expect Sensex to trade in the range of 18400-19000 during the next week”.
KOTAK SECURITIES (Dipen Shah):We are enthused by the reform initiatives announced by the Government. These initiatives open the doors for foreign monies to flow in. However, we believe that, these will now have to be followed-up by some of the core reforms, which will encourage further investments in the manufacturing segment and hence, attract more money”.
CANARA BANK SECURITIES (CanMoney):Next week, Domestic and global cues will continue be the major driver for our market. The short-term trend remains bullish and the index is on course to hit the immediate target of 5,750-5,800. The price patterns and the momentum also strengthen the case for a push to the major target at the 6,000-level. As long as the index trades above the support at 5,400, it would reasonable to expect the Nifty to hit the target of 6,000. Major Support & Resistance for Nifty are 5775/5850/5945 and 5640/5580/5525”.
BONANZA ONLINE: Nifty showed strength for 3rd consecutive week and closed above 5650 levels. Buying interest may be continuing above 5700 levels. If Nifty does not maintain above 5870 levels then profit booking may also be seen. Traders may take delivery based position in good stocks with stoploss levels. For trading during the coming sessions, trend deciding level is 5700. If Nifty shows strength above 5700 levels then we may see rally till 5750/5800/5860/5940.  If Nifty doesn’t sustain above 5700 levels then profit booking till 5640/5590/5530/5450 may also be seen.
Duration
Action
Entry Zone (NF)
For Target of
Stop Loss
For Monday
Sell
5700-5720
5650
5750
For the Week
Sell
5700-5750
5625-5600
5780
GEPL CAPITAL: The next target on the upside in the immediate term is placed at 5740. Any decline in the immediate term may find buying support near 5600 and below that 5525 has emerged as a strong support. The present momentum would remain intact as long as Nifty trades above the level of 5525. On the upside the positional target of Nifty is placed in the vicinity of 5870 to 5900”.
KARVY STOCK BROKING: Long positions can be assumed in Auto, Metals, FMCG, Capital Goods, Banking and Telecom sectors if markets hold 5650 levels. Short positions can be accumulated in Pharma, IT and Utilities if the Nifty fails to sustain above 5650 levels or below 5600 levels. Overall, we expect Nifty to trade in the broad range of 5550-5850 levels for next week”.
ADITYA BIRLA MONEY (MONEY WEEKLY):With the government finally showing signs of strong resolve, expectations have risen of further reforms, especially in infrastructure. Sector-wise, high betas showed strong out-performance with indices of banks, capital goods, power and realty gaining between 6%-9%. Our markets are likely to attract strong FII inflows. The rally in our equity markets seems set to continue. Further progress in reforms could help our markets create new highs. High beta stocks are likely to continue their out-performance”.
ICICI SECURITIES:We expect the Nifty to remain positive during the settlement week and the index may settle the September series near highs. However, 5800 levels may prove crucial for the Nifty and it may consolidate around these levels for some time. In the meanwhile, mid-cap stocks may continue their upward momentum. The Bank Nifty witnessed a significant recovery due to significant covering in private sector heavyweights. Fresh long addition was observed among PSU mid-cap stocks. We expect the Bank Nifty to trade with a positive bias while major support can be seen around 11000 levels”.
SMC TRADEONLINE (WISE MONEY):Hereafter, the range of 5500-5700 will remain crucial for current expiry and the move is expected to remain volatile. If Nifty slips below the 5650 mark, it could slide to 5580 levels due to increased selling pressure. On the contrary, the index may face stiff resistance at 5700-5750 levels”.
GABA & GABA FINANCIAL ADVISORS PVT LTD (Prakash Gaba): The crucial support for the Nifty is at 5620 and the resistance is at 5768”.
ANGEL BROKING (Technical): Considering all the above technical evidences, we can infer that if indices sustain above  19132/5741, then our benchmark indices are likely to rally towards the next possible target of 19542-19812/5850-5945 and even the possibility of testing 6000 (Nifty) cannot be ruled out. However, it would be very difficult to judge whether these targets would be achieved in the current leg of the rally or post a correction/consolidation before moving higher. The traders who have missed this rally should now ideally wait for a pull back (if any) towards the support levels of 18291-18000/5534-5450 and then initiate fresh long positions in the market”.
MICROSEC SECURITIES:For the coming week, first support of Nifty is at 5620 and the resistance is 5730. If Nifty breaks 5620, it may further go down to 5560 and then 5500. However, if Nifty is able to sustain above 5730, the level of 5820-5900 would become the next target”.
INDIRATRADE SECURITIES:For the next week, Nifty likely to trade in the range between 5750-5850 in the upper side and 5550-5500 in the lower side”.
EMKAY GLOBAL FINANCIAL SERVICES:On technical front, we still feel that the gap of Sept. 14, 2012 i.e. 5,447-level is an important pivot and till the time that gap is open bulls are safe and will escort the overall market in the near future. Still the series of rising troughs in place and that has kept our hopes of 5,800-level alive on Nifty. Also the bullish cycle of daily KST and MACD histogram are in motion and that indicates that upward momentum is still well in place”.

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