"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK & TRADING IDEA FOR THE WEEK 01.04.2013 TO 07.04.2013"

The 30-share benchmark index, Sensex climbed 100.17 points, or 0.53%, to 18,835.77 in the week ended Mar. 28, 2013. On the other hand, the broad based NSE Nifty rose 31.2 points, or 0.55%, to 5,682.55 in the same period.
VIEWS FROM DIFFERENT BROKING HOUSES:
HDFC SECURITIES: With the Nifty bouncing back smartly for the second consecutive session on the back of derivative expiry, the bulls seem to be making a come back. Further upsides are likely if the Nifty can cross the immediate resistances of 5719 early next week. Downside supports to watch for a resumption of weakness are at 5633.
BONANZA ONLINE: After showing selling pressure for consecutive 2 weeks, Nifty made hammer candlestick pattern on weekly charts, which shows that bulls are trying to enter from lower levels. Buying interest may be continuing above 5720 levels else profit booking may be seen. Traders may take delivery based positions in good stocks, if Nifty manages to maintain above 5720 levels. For trading during the coming session, trend deciding level is 5720. If Nifty shows strength above 5720 levels then we may see rally till 5770/5820/5870/5950. If Nifty doesn’t maintain above 5720 levels then selling pressure till 5650/5600/5550/5500 may also be seen.
Duration
Action
Entry Zone (NF)
For Target of
Stop Loss
For Monday
Buy
5680-5710
5760
5655
For the Week
Buy
5670-5720
5795-5815
5640
BONANZA PORTFOLIO (Rakesh Goyal):In coming week, 5,700 shall be crucial deciding level in near term, and index is likely to witness further buying above this level. Above 5,700, likely target is 5,750-5,800, while below 5,650, likely support is 5,600-5,550”.
GEPL CAPITAL: After several days, it managed to close above the previous high of 5655 and reversed the losing streak of more than a week.  It may now retrace some of its losses and come up to 5750 and beyond that 5800 is a valid possibility. On the downside the range of 5600 to 5550 would continue to serve as an important support for Nifty. In the immediate term there is a minor resistance placed at 5712 for Nifty. Once it manages to sustain above 5712 the above mentioned range of 5750 to 5800 is possible.
KARVY STOCK BROKING: Long positions can be assumed in Consumer Durables, FMCG, IT, Metals and Pharma if the Nifty sustains above 5700 levels in the coming week. Short positions can be accumulated in Automobiles, Banking, Capital Goods, Cements and Energy if the Nifty slips below 5650 levels. Overall, we expect Nifty to trade in the range of 5550-5750 levels for the next week”.
ADITYA BIRLA MONEY (MONEY WEEKLY):Markets might continue to be volatile until comfort emerges on domestic political stability and the Cyprus problem to the satisfaction of investors. Valuations have started becoming reasonable after a sizeable correction in the private financials and auto space. The telecom space looks attractive with policy overhang reducing and recent price hikes. Volatility should be used to buy quality stocks in consumer, pharma and IT on decline”.
ICICI SECURITIES:Nifty held the stated support of 5600 and closed the month almost flat. Going ahead in the April series, major support still lies at 5600. However, the cautious approach should continue till the Nifty does not close above 5800. Only a close above 5800 may trigger closure of short positions. The banking index closed below its crucial resistance of 11500. We expect selling pressure to continue in the index till it does not sustain above these levels. On downsides, noticeable option base at 11000 Put strikes is expected to extend support”.
SMC TRADEONLINE (WISE MONEY):Nifty below 5800 came under bear grip and panic was noticed especially in mid-cap stocks. Hereon Nifty is likely to find support at 5550 levels. As the structure of market is getting weaker, the strategy will be shifted to Sell on bounce”.
ANGEL BROKING (Technical): “The 'Downward Sloping Trend Line' and '200-day SMA' provided decent support to our benchmark indices. Despite a couple of decent attempts, the bears were unsuccessful in violating the strong support level of 18525/5600. In fact, indices managed to bounce sharply during the last hour of the week to register a weekly close marginally in the positive territory. We are now observing that the daily 'RSI' and 'Stochastic' oscillators have signalled a positive crossover. Hence, a move beyond Thursday's high of 18883/5693 may push indices higher to test next resistance levels of 19094-19210/5766-5820. On the flipside, we maintain our view that only a sustainable move below 18525/5600 would justify a bear case scenario and may drag indices lower to test 18255-17800/5548-5441 levels”.
IIFL (Amar Ambani): Technically, the Nifty found support at the 38.20% retracement level for entire rally since May 2012 and 200-DMA placed at 5,624. We expect, the Nifty to continue with the upward momentum in the coming days. A close above 5,720 would further accelerate the bullish stances”.  
MICROSEC SECURITIES:For the coming week, first support of Nifty is at 5600 and the resistance is 5720. If Nifty breaks 5600, it may further go down 5540 and then 5450. However, if Nifty is able to sustain above 5720, the level of 5750-5830 would become the next target”.
EASTERN FINANCIERS LTD.: “After a week of high volatility owing to political drama threatening early polls and continued global uncertainties, markets are expected to trade on a cautious note with a negative bias in the first trading week of the new financial year. Next week will see important economic as well as Sectoral data coming out and would be the chief determinant of the markets immediate trajectory, apart from the developments in the global economy as well as the domestic political scenario”.
INDIRATRADE SECURITIES: “Next week, Nifty likely to trade in the range between 5850-5900 in the upper side and 5550-5400 in the lower side”.
R K GLOBAL:The last session of fiscal 2013, which coincided with the expiry of March series, made a surprise U-turn towards the end of the truncated week. Extremely poor global cues had a cascading effect on the indices. With the beginning of April series next week we could see a short term recovery with a negative bias. On the sector front Auto stocks could remain subdued for a major part of the April series”.
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